hoten mot Iran avtar, för nu

UPPDATERING, – In Signal to Israel and Iran, Obama Delays War Exercise by Gareth Porter and Jim Lobe

Obama’s Secret Letter to Tehran: Is the War against Iran On Hold? ”The Road to Tehran Goes through Damascus”

The New York Times announced that the Obama Administration had sent an important letter to the leadership of Iran on January 12, 2012.

In the letter, the White House spelled out the position of the United States, while Iranian officials said it was a sign of things as they really are: the U.S. cannot afford to wage a war against Iran.

Within the letter written by President Barak Hussein Obama was a U.S. request for the start of negotiations between Washington and Tehran to end Iranian-U.S. hostilities.

Ska man tro att det finns ärligt uppsåt bakom Obamas brev? Knappast, då får han först visa i handling att det finns någon anledning att tro på något han säger.

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Ray McGovern har tidigare jobbat åt CIA så han borde kunna vara tillförlitlig när det gäller att tolka politiska skeenden och uttalanden. Enligt honom har USA’s ledning satt ner foten och satt stopp för den vansinniga upptrappningen och krigshetsen mot Iran. Leon Panetta (försvarsminister i USA?) sa i en TV-intervju den 8:e januari att han inte tror att Iran försöker tillverka kärnvapen, en anmärkningsvärd markering under den kampanj mot Iran som pågått med förhöjd intensitet ett tag nu. Tre dagar senare mördas en man som arbetade inom Irans kärnkraftsprojekt i Teheran. Maskerade män på motorcykel körde upp bredvid bilen han färdades i och fäste en magnetisk sprängladdning som detonerade och dödade honom. Misstankarna riktades genast mot Israel och Mossad, och uttalanden från USA var förhållandevis skarpa i sitt fördömande och förnekande av inblandning. Och tre dagar efter dådet meddelas att en stor militärövning som USA och Israel gemensamt skulle ha i vår ställs in utan närmare förklaring. Och denna veckan uttalade sig Israels försvarsminister i en intervju om att ett angrepp mot Iran inte är nära förestående.

Israel Tamps Down Iran War Threats

To disrupt what had appeared to be an unstoppable march toward war with Iran, gaining momentum in December and early January, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta intervened with his own rendition of “Let me be clear.”

Appearing on CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Jan. 8, and apparently unsure whether host Bob Schieffer would have the courage to ask the $64 question, Panetta decided to ask it himself rhetorically: “Are they [the Iranians] trying to develop a nuclear weapon? No.”

Yet, in a highly illustrative example of media hypersensitivity on this issue, PBS was not even willing to let the Defense Secretary’s comment reach the ears of the network’s listeners. Its “NewsHour” program deleted Panetta’s emphatic “no” and played only his subsequent comment:

“But we know that they are trying to develop a nuclear capability. And that’s what concerns us. And our red line to Iran is do not develop a nuclear weapon. That’s a red line for us.”

Got that? Panetta said Iran is not trying to develop a nuclear weapon, but Iran better not develop a nuclear weapon because that’s a red line for us. Clearly, Panetta was trying to be all things to all people, but he had spoken emphatically to the key question of whether Iran was “trying to develop a nuclear weapon? No.”

On Jan. 11, just three days after Panetta’s assertion that the Iranians were not trying to develop a nuclear weapon, assassins in Tehren attached a bomb to a car carrying Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan, an Iranian scientist connected with Iran’s nuclear development program. The attack killed Roshan, making him the fifth such victim in the last couple of years.

Suspicion immediately focused on Israel, which has historically engaged in cross-border assassinations of people it considers a threat. Usually in these cases, Israel offers some ambiguous semi-denial. This time, however, Israeli officials mostly swaggered. Israel’s chief military spokesman, Brig. Gen. Yoav Mordechai, posted a statement on Facebook, saying: “I don’t know who settled the score with the Iranian scientist, but I certainly am not shedding a tear.”
And a leak from the Israeli Parliament revealed that on Jan. 10, the day before the killing, Israeli Forces Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz told the Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee that during 2012 Iran would see things happen to it “unnaturally,” a reference that Israeli defense and intelligence officials understood to mean covert actions against Iran’s nuclear program.

The Obama administration clearly was not amused by the assassination. The White House and State Department issued unusually prompt and strong denials of U.S. complicity. Panetta went so far as to say, “We have some ideas as to who might be involved. But we don’t know exactly …”

On Jan. 12, President Obama called Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the White House took the unusual step of releasing a photo of Obama on the phone with Netanyahu. Though the White House did not disclose the details of the conversation, the Obama administration soon signaled not only its displeasure with the murder of Roshan but annoyance over what appeared to be an Israeli strategy to ratchet up tensions with Iran.
Obama’s call was followed by the strongest and most tangible move since Panetta’s statement on Face the Nation. Three days after the killing of Roshan, large-scale joint U.S.-Israeli military exercises planned for this spring were abruptly postponed, without any cogent explanation.

Sen går McGovern igenom vad som hänt de senaste åren.

On Oct. 1, 2009, Tehran shocked virtually everyone by agreeing to a proposal to send most (as much as 75 percent) of its low-enriched uranium abroad to be turned into fuel for a small reactor that produces medical isotopes.

It was at this hopeful moment when – on Oct. 18, 2009 – Jundallah, a terrorist organization supported by the Israeli Mossad and other intelligence agencies, detonated a car bomb in southeastern Iran ripping apart a meeting of top Iranian Revolutionary Guards commanders and tribal leaders. Jundallah also mounted a roadside attack on a car full of Guards in the same area.

In 2010, Brazil and Turkey tried to resurrect this deal with a new overture that was privately encouraged by President Obama. The Brazil-Turkey initiative soon won acceptance in Tehran.

On May 17, 2010, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva announced success in persuading Iran to send some of its low-enriched uranium to Turkey in exchange for higher-enriched uranium that would be put to peaceful medical uses.

Rather than embrace this Iranian concession as at least a step in the right direction, American neocons launched a political/media offensive to torpedo the deal. Though Obama had sent a private letter encouraging the leaders of Brazil and Turkey to undertake the swap negotiations, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her neocon friends moved quickly to sink it. Instead, they pressed for harsher and harsher sanctions.

Frågan är om man kan lita på att Israel tänker börja uppträda anständigt.

But Dempsey’s visit bears close watching to see if the alteration in Israeli rhetoric is durable and reflected on the ground. In the past, Israel’s Likud leaders have played hardball with American leaders, often by enlisting the help of their influential allies in the United States. If “regime change” remains the real priority, then Israeli leaders won’t be likely to warm to the idea of negotiating over Iran’s nuclear program.

Scott Creighton har också skrivit om detta – U.S. Joint Operation with Israel Postponed: Did the Globalists Just Blink? – Han spekulerar om vad som kan ligga bakom, kan det ha något med presidentvalet i USA i höst att göra? Har någon inom militären sagt ifrån på skarpen? Det var väl inte så att de uppskruvade hoten mot Iran var ett sätt att sätta press på Kina och Ryssland. Och att dessa nu i utbyte mot att Iran lämnas i fred för nu, gått med på att släppa igenom resolutioner om insatser mot Syrien?
Om det ser ut som att man kan andas ut lite för ögonblicket, kan man undra om de kommer med något än värre påfund istället.

Attack Iran? Nuclear Insanity: ”We have the Capability to Take the World Down with Us”

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Publicerat i Iran. 2 Comments »

2 svar to “hoten mot Iran avtar, för nu”

  1. Farfar Says:

    Lugnet före stormen??


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